如此招标
2008年07月27日
前几天喂儿子吃中饭,无意中电视台里,可能是中央电视台,在播出奥运背后的故事。
其中说到奥运场馆鸟巢的粉刷,深圳北京和上海三家国内最具有实力的公司招标,据介绍说,这三家公司的涂料在质量上都完全合格,下面就是价格的竞争,究竟鹿死谁手,且看报价。
几轮报价过后,上海的公司最终胜出,获得了鸟巢的红色场馆内墙的粉刷订单。
下面是那个公司的领导对记者说的话,可能不是原话,意思不会变:“这个价格对公司来说肯定是没有利润的,要亏损一些,但从广告效应上说,还是有一定的意义的,怎么说呢,就算是我们公司为奥运做的贡献吧!”
当时听了不是味,说不出哪里不对。
这两天和皮皮妈妈一起陪子女度假,到处去玩,看着四处红红火火,皮皮妈妈感慨的说:“现在,也就服务行业热闹了!奇怪,工厂倒的倒,亏的亏,人们哪里来的钱消费呢?”
我突然就明白我哪里觉得不舒服了。
这个社会的支柱,应该是生产制造业,而不是服务业。当然服务业的发展水平是衡量一个地区经济发达程度和现代化水平的重要标志之一,但它似乎不可能成为支撑十几亿人口持续发展的脊梁。如果农业,轻工业,重工业都无利可图,那么在金字塔顶端的服务业还能支持多久?
郎咸平的一篇文章指出,持续两年的股市高潮是因为大多数的上市企业用企业流转资金去炒金融房地产,甚至连海尔这样的企业,都去开发房地产。为什么?为什么他们不事本行业生产?据说一台电冰箱,现在行业竞争价格战激烈到出厂利润只有十元。一面是源源不断出品的冰箱也许摆在商场无人问津,到促销的时候打折或者落伍后被淘汰出市场。工业企业资金占用大,生产线投入高,而利润少,显然不如暴利行业房地产金融更吸引投资者。
再看消费者,无限追求低价,一台冰箱彩电都要国美苏宁永乐反复踩盘子问价压价,却在买房上一掷千金像买白菜。等有一天所有的工厂都倒闭了,吃穿用度哪里寻?
回到央视的那个奥运背后的故事:
如果所有招标单位都希望投标单位一分利润没有甚至赔本倒贴地为自己服务,迟早有一天,一个标书出来,找不到任何投标者。在新加坡也好,欧美也好,我觉得这种奇怪的理念是不存在的,也许利润会少些,但绝对不会贴本做生意,或者说大规模社会效应型贴本做生意。
维持制造业合理的利润,让生产制造业进入良性循环轨道而不是恶性竞争,这才能保持整个社会的链接平滑坚固,不会在某一刻骤然断裂。
凡是有中国人的地方,就有个词紧紧跟随:“勤劳”。我们的口食都是从延长自身的劳动时间,加大劳动强度,才从那些没有冠以“勤劳”字眼的民族国家里夺得一些生存空间。如此说来,究竟是天道酬勤,还是天道酬懒?
昨天,我的一个朋友跟我说,你不要为我们的民族这么忧心忡忡,这些劳动密集型产业的倒闭破产也许是大势所趋,最终,我们的生产模式将要走上技术密集型,比如电子产业,高科技产业。
我苦脸一笑,说,根据我的预感,中国很难有那样的一天。即使是技术密集型产业,最终就靠自身的搏杀,也会变成劳动密集型产业,因为我们善于残酷压迫自己,把利润拱手让给他人。也许原本附加值很高的软件业,或者是设计行业,也会在投标中,在于印度人的竞争中,最终无可挽回地走向赔钱赚吆喝的境地。
希望我是错的。
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